BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 33 Conference: Pride of Iowa Record: (37-11-0) Overall: (68-29-0) Overall Strength =   55.04

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08-31-2001 Away    W      38.73  14  12   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -16.31     18.31                      
 2 09-07-2001 Home    W * *  54.26  47   6   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -0.78     41.78                      
 3 09-14-2001 Away    L      41.85   6  33   2A 19 ( 68- 33-  0) Prairie City-Monroe   -13.18    -13.82                      
 4 09-21-2001 Home    L      22.76   0  42   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -32.27     -9.73                      
 5 09-28-2001 Away    W      47.94  18   6   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -7.09     19.09                      
 6 10-05-2001 Away    W      73.82  21  17 1 3A 40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               18.79    -14.79                      
 7 10-12-2001 Home    W     107.48  57   6   2A 38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       52.45     -1.45                      
 8 10-19-2001 Home    W * *  80.55  45  13   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         25.51      6.49                      
 9 10-26-2001 Away    L      42.47  14  42   3A 38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -12.57    -15.43                      
10 09-06-2002 Home    W      63.67  44  14   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          8.64     21.36                      
11 09-13-2002 Away    W * *  51.31  49  14   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -3.72     38.72                      
12 09-20-2002 Home    L      28.88  32  36   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah            -26.15     22.15                      
13 09-27-2002 Away    W      66.55  33  16   1A 44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  11.52      5.48                      
14 10-04-2002 Home    W      61.39  26  14   2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley         6.36      5.64                      
15 10-11-2002 Home    W      65.76  15  14 1 2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda               10.73     -9.73                      
16 10-18-2002 Away    L      30.19  27  42   1A 52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -24.85      9.85                      
17 10-25-2002 Away    W   *  62.01  28   0   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     6.98     21.02                      
18 11-01-2002 Home    L * *  47.55  41  42   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         -7.49      6.49                      
19 09-05-2003 Away    W      70.73  40   6   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         15.69     18.31                      
20 09-12-2003 Home    W * *  48.26  48  13   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -6.78     41.78                      
21 09-19-2003 Away    W      55.94  26   6   2A 61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah              0.91     19.09                      
22 09-26-2003 Home    W      79.49  41   8   1A 44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  24.46      8.54                      
23 10-03-2003 Away    L      46.44  26  32 1 2A 47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        -8.59      2.59                      
24 10-10-2003 Away    L      23.81   0  44   2A 20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -31.22    -12.78                      
25 10-17-2003 Home    L      39.13  29  32   1A 52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -15.90     12.90                      
26 10-24-2003 Home    W   *  47.96  26   9   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -7.07     24.07                      
27 10-31-2003 Away    L * *  35.60  12  28   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -19.43      3.43                      
28 08-27-2004 Home    L * *  41.55   7  14   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -13.49      6.49                      
29 09-03-2004 Away    W   *  62.01  34   6   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     6.98     21.02                      
30 09-17-2004 Home    W   *  66.81  33  14   1A 43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama        11.78      7.22                      
31 09-24-2004 Away    L *    32.43  14  41    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford               -22.60     -4.40                      
32 10-01-2004 Away    L * *  38.66  25  28   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -16.37     13.37                      
33 10-08-2004 Home    W * *  62.26  55   6   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne           7.22     41.78                      
34 10-15-2004 Home    W *    77.02  38   0    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                21.99     16.01                      
35 10-22-2004 Away    W * *  84.08  53  16   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          29.05      7.95                      
36 10-29-2004 Away    L *    47.87  22  31   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -7.16     -1.84                      
37 08-26-2005 Away    W * *  59.60  20  12   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley          4.57      3.43                      
38 09-02-2005 Home    W   *  56.96  42  16   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     1.93     24.07                      
39 09-16-2005 Away    W   *  63.87  35  22   1A 43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama         8.84      4.16                      
40 09-23-2005 Home    W *    72.38  46  30    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                17.34     -1.34                      
41 09-30-2005 Home    L * *  32.61  22  28   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -22.43     16.43                      
42 10-07-2005 Away    W * *  54.31  44   6   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -0.72     38.72                      
43 10-14-2005 Away    W *    43.08  21  20    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -11.95     12.95                      
44 10-21-2005 Home    L * *  16.03   7  35   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -39.00     11.00                      
45 10-28-2005 Home    W *    59.82  20  14   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     4.79      1.21                      
46 11-02-2005 Away    L * *  30.08   6  23   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -24.95      7.95                      
47 09-01-2006 Home    W      53.67  41  21   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -1.36     21.36                      
48 09-08-2006 Home    W      62.02  48  42   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold                6.99     -0.99                      
49 09-15-2006 Home    W * *  56.03  26  14   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           1.00     11.00                      
50 09-22-2006 Away    W      69.85  28  21   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     14.82     -7.82                      
51 09-29-2006 Home    W *    55.82  27  25   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     0.79      1.21                      
52 10-06-2006 Home    W      73.54  52  33   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian        18.51      0.49                      
53 10-13-2006 Away    W * *  48.66   7   0   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   -6.37     13.37                      
54 10-20-2006 Away    W * *  45.31  43  14   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -9.72     38.72                      
55 10-27-2006 Away    W * *  57.60  23  17   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley          2.57      3.43                      
56 11-01-2006 Home    W      62.80   3   0   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk      7.76     -4.76                      
57 11-06-2006 Away    L      48.88   0  35   1A  4 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert           -6.16    -28.84                      
58 08-31-2007 Away    W      45.73  27  18   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -9.31     18.31                      
59 09-07-2007 Away    L      37.07   7  29   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold              -17.96     -4.04                      
60 09-14-2007 Away    L * *  28.08   6  25   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -26.95      7.95                      
61 09-21-2007 Home    L      42.80   3  20   2A 30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk    -12.24     -4.76                      
62 09-28-2007 Away    W *    61.87  39  34   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     6.84     -1.84                      
63 10-05-2007 Away    W      60.60  36  33   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian         5.56     -2.56                      
64 10-12-2007 Home    W * * 100.61  62   0   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   45.57     16.43                      
65 10-19-2007 Home    W * *  54.26  41   0   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -0.78     41.78                      
66 10-26-2007 Home    W * *  57.55  28  19   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley          2.51      6.49                      
67 08-29-2008 Home    W      63.67  37   7   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          8.64     21.36  non-district        
68 09-05-2008 Away    W *    97.43  38   0    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                42.40     -4.40  non-district        
69 09-12-2008 Away    W *    78.87  22   0   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    23.84     -1.84                      
70 09-19-2008 Home    W   *  59.78  41   6   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian    4.75     30.25                      
71 09-26-2008 Home    W * *  49.55  21  20   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         -5.49      6.49                      
72 10-03-2008 Away    W * *  56.31  47   7   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne           1.28     38.72                      
73 10-10-2008 Home    W * *  55.03  32  21   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          -0.00     11.00                      
74 10-17-2008 Away    L      56.60  26  27   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian         1.56     -2.56                      
75 10-23-2008 Home    W * *  81.61  55  12   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   26.57     16.43                      
76 10-29-2008 Home    W      89.42  49  15   1A 30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      34.39     -0.39                      
77 11-03-2008 Away    L      42.21  14  35   1A 23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley        -12.82     -8.18                      
78 08-28-2009 Away    L      27.73   3  12   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -27.31     18.31  nd                  
79 09-04-2009 Home    W *    76.38  26   6    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                21.34     -1.34  nd                  
80 09-11-2009 Home    W *    62.82  21  12   2A 41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     7.79      1.21                      
81 09-18-2009 Away    L   *  26.84  28  29   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -28.19     27.19                      
82 09-25-2009 Away    W * *  59.60  35  27   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley          4.57      3.43                      
83 10-02-2009 Home    W * *  55.26  42   0   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne           0.22     41.78                      
84 10-09-2009 Away    W * *  62.08  28  13   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           7.05      7.95                      
85 10-16-2009 Home    W      58.54  37  33   2A 40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian         3.51      0.49                      
86 10-22-2009 Neutral W * *  56.13  30  14   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur    1.10     14.90                      
87 10-28-2009 Home    L      48.42  21  28   1A 30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      -6.61     -0.39                      
88 08-27-2010 Away    W      61.73  32   7   2A 60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          6.69     18.31  ND                  
89 09-03-2010 Home    W *    68.38  12   0    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                13.34     -1.34  ND                  
90 09-10-2010 Away    W   *  52.84  42  17   1A 60 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   -2.19     27.19                      
91 09-17-2010 Home    L * *  45.55  35  38   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         -9.49      6.49                      
92 09-24-2010 Away    W * *  48.31  40   8   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -6.72     38.72                      
93 10-01-2010 Home    W   *  43.96  26  13   1A 58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley   -11.07     24.07                      
94 10-08-2010 Away    W * *  50.66  22  13   1A 56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   -4.37     13.37                      
95 10-15-2010 Away    L   *  36.87  14  28   1A 43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama       -18.16      4.16                      
96 10-22-2010 Home    W * *  59.03  37  22   1A 50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           4.00     11.00                      
97 10-27-2010 Away    L      48.88   0  35   1A  4 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert           -6.16    -28.84                      
      Averages              55.04  28.5 18.7

Best game:  107.48 = 51 point win over Bondurant-Farrar
Worst game:  16.03 = 28 point loss to Pleasantville
Team stdev:  16.95