BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 33 Conference: 1A-7 Record: (35-11-0) Overall: (68-29-0) Overall Strength =   55.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W    38.72  14  12   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -16.31     18.31                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W *  54.26  47   6   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -0.78     41.78                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    L    41.85   6  33   ZZ  48 ( 68- 33-  0) Monroe Prairie City-  -13.18    -13.82                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    L    22.76   0  42   2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -32.27     -9.73                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W    47.94  18   6   2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah             -7.09     19.09                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    W    73.82  21  17 1 3A  40 ( 61- 39-  0) Carlisle               18.79    -14.79                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W   107.48  57   6   2A  38 ( 45- 50-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       52.45     -1.45                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W *  80.55  45  13   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         25.51      6.49                      
  9 10/26/2001 Away    L    42.47  14  42   3A  38 ( 60- 38-  0) Chariton              -12.57    -15.43                      
 10 09/06/2002 Home    W    63.67  44  14   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          8.64     21.36                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    W *  51.31  49  14   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -3.72     38.72                      
 12 09/20/2002 Home    L    28.89  32  36   2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah            -26.15     22.15                      
 13 09/27/2002 Away    W    66.55  33  16   1A  44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  11.52      5.48                      
 14 10/04/2002 Home    W    61.39  26  14   2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley         6.36      5.64                      
 15 10/11/2002 Home    W    65.76  15  14 1 2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda               10.73     -9.73                      
 16 10/18/2002 Away    L    30.19  27  42   1A  52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -24.85      9.85                      
 17 10/25/2002 Away    W *  62.02  28   0   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     6.98     21.02                      
 18 11/01/2002 Home    L *  47.55  41  42   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         -7.49      6.49                      
 19 09/05/2003 Away    W    70.72  40   6   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         15.69     18.31                      
 20 09/12/2003 Home    W *  48.26  48  13   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -6.78     41.78                      
 21 09/19/2003 Away    W    55.94  26   6   2A  61 ( 20- 71-  0) Shenandoah              0.91     19.09                      
 22 09/26/2003 Home    W    79.49  41   8   1A  44 ( 32- 64-  0) Ogden                  24.46      8.54                      
 23 10/03/2003 Away    L    46.45  26  32 1 2A  47 ( 46- 50-  0) Missouri Valley        -8.59      2.59                      
 24 10/10/2003 Away    L    23.82   0  44   2A  20 ( 62- 38-  0) Clarinda              -31.22    -12.78                      
 25 10/17/2003 Home    L    39.13  29  32   1A  52 ( 33- 57-  0) Audubon               -15.90     12.90                      
 26 10/24/2003 Home    W *  47.96  26   9   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley    -7.07     24.07                      
 27 10/31/2003 Away    L *  35.60  12  28   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -19.43      3.43                      
 28 08/27/2004 Home    L *  41.55   7  14   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -13.49      6.49                      
 29 09/03/2004 Away    W *  62.02  34   6   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     6.98     21.02                      
 30 09/17/2004 Home    W *  66.81  33  14   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama        11.78      7.22                      
 31 09/24/2004 Away    L    32.43  14  41    A  17 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford               -22.60     -4.40                      
 32 10/01/2004 Away    L *  38.66  25  28   1A  56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -16.37     13.37                      
 33 10/08/2004 Home    W *  62.26  55   6   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne           7.22     41.78                      
 34 10/15/2004 Home    W    77.02  38   0    A  39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                21.99     16.01                      
 35 10/22/2004 Away    W *  84.08  53  16   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          29.05      7.95                      
 36 10/29/2004 Away    L    47.87  22  31   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    -7.16     -1.84                      
 37 08/26/2005 Away    W *  59.60  20  12   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley          4.57      3.43                      
 38 09/02/2005 Home    W *  56.96  42  16   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley     1.93     24.07                      
 39 09/16/2005 Away    W *  63.87  35  22   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama         8.84      4.16                      
 40 09/23/2005 Home    W    72.38  46  30    A  17 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                17.34     -1.34                      
 41 09/30/2005 Home    L *  32.61  22  28   1A  56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur  -22.43     16.43                      
 42 10/07/2005 Away    W *  54.31  44   6   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -0.72     38.72                      
 43 10/14/2005 Away    W    43.08  21  20    A  39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -11.95     12.95                      
 44 10/21/2005 Home    L *  16.03   7  35   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -39.00     11.00                      
 45 10/28/2005 Home    W    59.82  20  14   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     4.78      1.22                      
 46 11/02/2005 Away    L *  30.08   6  23   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -24.95      7.95                      
 47 09/01/2006 Home    W    53.67  41  21   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -1.36     21.36                      
 48 09/08/2006 Home    W    62.02  48  42   1A  29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold                6.99     -0.99                      
 49 09/15/2006 Home    W *  56.03  26  14   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           1.00     11.00                      
 50 09/22/2006 Away    W    69.85  28  21   2A  30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk     14.82     -7.82                      
 51 09/29/2006 Home    W    55.82  27  25   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     0.78      1.22                      
 52 10/06/2006 Home    W    73.54  52  33   2A  40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian        18.51      0.49                      
 53 10/13/2006 Away    W *  48.66   7   0   1A  56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   -6.37     13.37                      
 54 10/20/2006 Away    W *  45.31  43  14   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -9.72     38.72                      
 55 10/27/2006 Away    W *  57.60  23  17   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley          2.57      3.43                      
 56 11/01/2006 Home    W    62.80   3   0   2A  30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk      7.76     -4.76                      
 57 11/06/2006 Away    L    48.88   0  35   1A   5 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert           -6.16    -28.84                      
 58 08/31/2007 Away    W    45.72  27  18   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke         -9.31     18.31                      
 59 09/07/2007 Away    L    37.08   7  29   1A  29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold              -17.96     -4.04                      
 60 09/14/2007 Away    L *  28.08   6  25   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville         -26.95      7.95                      
 61 09/21/2007 Home    L    42.80   3  20   2A  30 ( 49- 49-  0) Alleman North Polk    -12.24     -4.76                      
 62 09/28/2007 Away    W    61.87  39  34   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     6.84     -1.84                      
 63 10/05/2007 Away    W    60.60  36  33   2A  40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian         5.56     -2.56                      
 64 10/12/2007 Home    W * 100.61  62   0   1A  56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   45.57     16.43                      
 65 10/19/2007 Home    W *  54.26  41   0   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -0.78     41.78                      
 66 10/26/2007 Home    W *  57.55  28  19   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley          2.51      6.49                      
 67 08/29/2008 Home    W    63.67  37   7   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          8.64     21.36  non-district        
 68 09/05/2008 Away    W    97.43  38   0    A  17 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                42.40     -4.40  non-district        
 69 09/12/2008 Away    W    78.87  22   0   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35    23.84     -1.84                      
 70 09/19/2008 Home    W *  59.78  41   6   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian    4.75     30.25                      
 71 09/26/2008 Home    W *  49.55  21  20   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         -5.49      6.49                      
 72 10/03/2008 Away    W *  56.31  47   7   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne           1.28     38.72                      
 73 10/10/2008 Home    W *  55.03  32  21   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville          -0.00     11.00                      
 74 10/17/2008 Away    L    56.60  26  27   2A  40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian         1.56     -2.56                      
 75 10/23/2008 Home    W *  81.61  55  12   1A  56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   26.57     16.43                      
 76 10/29/2008 Home    W    89.42  49  15   1A  30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      34.39     -0.39                      
 77 11/03/2008 Away    L    42.22  14  35   1A  23 ( 56- 42-  0) Prairie Valley        -12.82     -8.18                      
 78 08/28/2009 Away    L    27.72   3  12   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke        -27.31     18.31  nd                  
 79 09/04/2009 Home    W    76.38  26   6    A  17 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                21.34     -1.34  nd                  
 80 09/11/2009 Home    W    62.82  21  12   2A  41 ( 55- 40-  0) Truro Interstate-35     7.78      1.22                      
 81 09/18/2009 Away    L *  26.84  28  29   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian  -28.19     27.19                      
 82 09/25/2009 Away    W *  59.60  35  27   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley          4.57      3.43                      
 83 10/02/2009 Home    W *  55.26  42   0   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne           0.22     41.78                      
 84 10/09/2009 Away    W *  62.08  28  13   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           7.05      7.95                      
 85 10/16/2009 Home    W    58.54  37  33   2A  40 ( 35- 17-  0) Pella Christian         3.51      0.49                      
 86 10/22/2009 Neutral W *  56.13  30  14   1A  56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur    1.10     14.90                      
 87 10/28/2009 Home    L    48.42  21  28   1A  30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      -6.61     -0.39                      
 88 08/27/2010 Away    W    61.72  32   7   2A  60 (  5- 85-  0) Osceola Clarke          6.69     18.31  ND                  
 89 09/03/2010 Home    W    68.38  12   0    A  17 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                13.34     -1.34  ND                  
 90 09/10/2010 Away    W *  52.84  42  17   1A  61 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Christian   -2.19     27.19                      
 91 09/17/2010 Home    L *  45.55  35  38   1A  41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley         -9.49      6.49                      
 92 09/24/2010 Away    W *  48.31  40   8   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne          -6.72     38.72                      
 93 10/01/2010 Home    W *  43.96  26  13   1A  58 ( 19- 73-  0) West Central Valley   -11.07     24.07                      
 94 10/08/2010 Away    W *  50.66  22  13   1A  56 ( 38- 54-  0) Leon Central Decatur   -4.37     13.37                      
 95 10/15/2010 Away    L *  36.87  14  28   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama       -18.16      4.16                      
 96 10/22/2010 Home    W *  59.03  37  22   1A  50 ( 42- 53-  0) Pleasantville           4.00     11.00                      
 97 10/27/2010 Away    L    48.88   0  35   1A   5 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert           -6.16    -28.84                      
      Averages              55.04  28.5 18.7

Best game:  107.48 = 51 point win over Bondurant-Farrar
Worst game:  16.03 = 28 point loss to Pleasantville
Team stdev:  16.95